Time is not on Israel’s side

Can Israel protect itself from the popular Palestinian uprising and reprisal by using brutal force, military power, Western protection and Gobbles propaganda, this question is often been raised by the geo-political strategists and commentators. Several factors are not in Israel’s favor. The most important factor is demographic. The birth rate of the Palestinian Muslims is much more than the Jews settled in Israel and within next 50 years the Muslim population will out number the Jews in the state of Israel (Ibrahim M. Abu Rabi. Globalization: A Contemporary Islamic Response. p 35.  The American Journal of Islamic Social Sciences. No.3. Vol. 15. 1998. IIIT, USA & Lee Hockstader in The Washington Post of Sunday 16 August 1998 quoted in Impact International UK. Vol. 28. No. 12. December 1998). Although Israel initially attracted diverse population from many corners of the world i.e. from Arab world, Eastern Europe, former Soviet Union and Ethiopia, the majority of the Jews from West Europe and North America have so far shown no real intention of migrating to and living in Israel. Jews are reluctant to come to settle in Israel any more. The Russian Jews now prefer to settle in U.S.A. for a better living than settle in their dreamland Israel. This is because they no more feel secure in Israel. Israelis are now holding duel nationality. According to statistics provided by the Liberty for the Muslim World U.K, an organization working for the protection of human rights and democratization, a million Jews have duel Israel-American citizenship and a huge number of South African Jews hold two passports and they are ready to leave Israel any moment as they feel insecure in violent ridden Zionist state. Constant conflict has destroyed their peace of mind and most of the Jews now consider Israel as the ‘most dangerous place in the world for a Jew’. This has now become manifest from their behavior. Secondly, Israel depends on the US for its survival, both political and economic. With out U.S. backing Israel cannot maintain the high standard of living of its population and the defense expenditure for its huge military arsenal.  U.S.A. has its own problem and cannot support the Zionist state forever. At present 16 percent of Americans live in poverty and it is doubtful how long U.S. shall be willing to support Israel with billions of U.S. dollar although U.S.A. has heavily supported Israel through financial aid with perennial aid packages continuously, over $3 billion per annum. No super power can survive by spending on armaments ignoring its own population. The erstwhile Soviet Union is the glaring example. Thirdly, Israel cannot win a long drawn conventional war with the Arabs and she is not in a position to use nuclear weapons in any regional conflict between her and the neighboring Arab states as such a strike would effect Israel in the same manner as Beirut, Damascus, Amman and Cairo which all fall within a radius of 400 kilo meter of Tel Aviv. Furthermore, Israel is situated in close proximity to Saudi Arabia, Cyprus and Turkey and any use of nuclear weapons would have an adverse effect on her as also these countries and permanently close the door of peace and lasting settlement of conflict in the region. Finally, the U.S. would not possibly agree with the Israel to use nuclear weapons as it would threaten its vital economic interest of the West in the region and likely to bear upon Israel all the economic, political and military influence deterring her from such disastrous action. U.S. has substantial investment in the region and should its interest ever be threatened or should there ever be a conflict between the permanent interests of the U.S.A. in the Middle East and the existence of Israel, America would undoubtedly forgo the latter for sheer self-interest. Control over the Middle East and its vital resources are essential in maintaining American dominance worldwide. Israel is surely aware of the dictum: (States) have no perpetual friends’ only perpetual interests. Will Israel come to its sense and take lesson from the history?